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Obama's Weakness Opens Floodgate of Mideast Trouble (Infobae, Argentina)

 

"The reality we face is simply the most striking Western weakness ever seen in the Middle East. So much so, that Moscow has dealt Washington and Brussels, but in particular President Obama, an unforgettable diplomatic beating, not only regarding the Syrian crisis, but also when it comes to Iran. ... It's clear that when it comes to both the Syria crisis and the Iranian nuclear controversy, the deception and fraud laid out by the Russians has been a trap that President Obama walked right into, pulling the majority of European leaders right in with him. Now it's too late for regrets."

 

By George Chaya

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Translated By Seren Moore

 

December 3, 2013

 

Argentina - Infobae - Original Article (Spanish)

Israel Prime Minister Netanyahu presses the Putin flesh in an attempt to alter the Kremlin's position on Iran, Nov. 20: It seems that Putin is the 'go-to man' for today's Middle East.

RUSSIA TODAY VIDEO: Radical Islamists execute moderate 'comrades' in Syria, Nov. 29, 00:06:09RealVideo

Call it what you like: "Russian initiative or U.S. retreat." Whatever you call it, this reality handed Bashar Al-Assad a miraculous diplomatic agreement in which he promised to give up his chemical weapons, thus avoiding a military strike that would have meant the fall of his regime. Likewise is the case of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which has demonstrated the professionalism of its diplomats as being a cut above the current "American and European diplomatic amateurism."

 

The reality we face is simply the most striking Western weakness ever seen in the Middle East. So much so, that Moscow has dealt Washington and Brussels, but in particular President Obama, an unforgettable diplomatic beating, not only regarding the Syrian crisis, but also when it comes to Iran, which, with Russian diplomatic support, is recovering through the lifting of economic sanctions, is continuing its nuclear program, and in terms of Iranian regional political consolidation.

 

During meetings in Geneva, it seemed up to the last minute that we would find - at last - a responsible West negotiating with Tehran. Many expected a firm Western position in defense of its regional interests such as security and non-proliferation, but that is precisely what failed to happen.

 

For a second time, Russia played the "diplomacy card" and wrapped President Obama and European leaders who have proven irresolute and indecisive in taking positions on this complicated and controversial conflict with Tehran. The Russians opened a new front that allows both Assad and the Khamenei-Rouhani regime to curb the chances of a military attack, and the economic strangulation imposed by U.N. sanctions that Tehran was subjected to. Meanwhile, Moscow's invaluable assistance bought more time for Assad to continue committing crimes, and for Iran to continue its nuclear energy program.

 

Assad's behavior is typical of types of tricks and deceit to which the Syrian regime has shown throughout its history. Assad agreed to dispose of his chemical weapons or place them under international supervision. This strategy is not new, and can be likened to the creation of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, when Assad was under investigation for the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. In this case, as a last resort, Assad announced his agreement merely to delay the investigation and take the oxygen out the court's efforts. He later broke that agreement, and with the passage of time, it was buried under the many other concerns of the international community.

 

In the case of Iran, Persian diplomats have for the past five years managed to buy time during which, in the face of Western diplomacy, Tehran has managed to refurbish old centrifuges and obtain new ones, with the clear objective of enriching uranium to hitherto unforeseen levels, according to IAEA technicians.

 

The Russians have sold the Americans an illusion about Syria and are doing the same with the Iranian nuclear dossier. Washington hasn't had the reflexes to respond quickly. In the opinion of his Arab and Israeli allies, it's too late for President Obama. He's lost everything but his short - especially after shooting himself in the foot by asking for a vote in Congress on possible Syrian intervention, with results that the world already knows.

 

It's clear that when it comes to both the Syria crisis and the Iranian nuclear controversy, the deception and fraud laid out by the Russians has been a trap that President Obama walked right into, pulling the majority of European leaders right in with him. Now it's too late for regrets.

 

The Russian initiative, or rather the game of Moscow, demonstrates that the security of the entire region is at risk as a consequence of Obama’s weakness, while confirming that once again, the Russians have become the most important players in the region. It is clear that Russia, Iran, and Assad, have learned the lesson of Egypt: Washington is always a step behind, and all one needs to do is lead the way.

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Russia is also helping normalize relations between Assad and the international community from the perspective of the Syrian crisis as a humanitarian crisis related to security, which includes fears of national fragmentation. The image that Moscow is working to show the world is that the Syrian crisis goes beyond the issue of chemical weapons, and this is something that Arabs should take into account, particularly because they now face one of two options: a) accept Russia's game in Syria and live with Assad, even if the impact of this would be at least as terrible as before, or b) turn the tables on Assad and Russia.

 

The latter option would require the imposition of a new geopolitical reality that would lead to a political solution to the Syria crisis, for example, through the U.N. Security Council under Chapter VII of the U.N. Charter. Failing this, it would mean that Arabs would accept Russia as a new regional superpower, which is something that will only benefit Iranian plans for nuclear and political expansion at the expense of Saudi Arabia - with all the negative impact this implies for regional nuclear proliferation. In such a case, nuclear proliferation is bound to climb to unpredictable levels, allowing the generation of a crisis without a solution.

 

In this context, the fate of Assad will be negligible, but the region will burn like never before.

 

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Posted By Worldmeets.US Dec. 3, 2013, 02:25pm