After giving the order to launch on ICBM, North Korean despot Kim

Jong-un enjoys a smoke while watching its progress, Dec. 12.



Only Deaf and Dumb Miss Truth of North Korea Nukes (Daily North Korea, South Korea)


"Information that North Korea has been developing an ICBM capable of reaching America's west coast has been around for years, so this latest launch isn't the least bit surprising. The fact is that we've been daydreaming. ... What is the purpose of Kim Jong-il's nuclear strategy? It is very clear. After reaching agreement on a peace treaty with Washington, it is to break the military alliance between South Korea and the United States."


By Sohn Gwang-joo*


December 14, 2012


South Korea - The Daily North Korea - Original Article (English)

South Koreans burn effigy of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, Dec. 12.


BBC NEWS VIDEO: North Koreans mark success of newest rocket, Dec. 14, 00:01:34RealVideo

North Korea has successfully tested their Unha-3 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM).


Information that North Korea has been developing an ICBM capable of reaching America's west coast has been around for years, so this latest launch isn't the least bit surprising. The fact is that we've been daydreaming.


It was July 2004 when the chairman of the Committee for Democratization of North Korea, Hwang Jang-yop, gave a lecture on the "solution of North Korean issues." He had been invited to speak by Grand National Party lawmaker Kwon Young-sae.


[Editor's Note: Hwang Jang-yop, who dies in 2010, was a former professor of Kim Jong-il at Kim Il-sung University, and a former chairman of North Korea's Supreme People's Assembly. Having fled to South Korea in 1997, he remains the highest-ranking defector from North Korea.]


Hwang's theory was that the Kim Jong-il regime and the North's nuclear weapons stemmed from the same context: North Korea's absolutist system. Consequently, the problem couldn't be addressed by focusing on nuclear weapons, but only by entirely getting rid of that system. Hwang said at the time, "Fighting North Korea's nuclear weapons is not like playing with fire. It's playing with the fire's shadow."


Hwang explained that North Korea was developing ICBMs capable of reaching the western United States. But no one believed him. The South Korean government and mass media didn't feel the weight of Hwang's testimony. So why are we in the situation we are today? Because the domestic political situation in 2004 allowed it to happen.


The Roh Moo-hyun Administration in office at the time thought the North's nuclear strategy was designed to lead to talks with the United States - and some experts continue to believe this. That is why, upon returning from a visit to the United States, President Roh said, "There is a point to North Korea's nuclear development."



It was in this atmosphere that Hwang gave his testimony on Pyongyang's plan to, "develop an ICBM that can reach the western United States." His views were not taken to heart. The affair came to be regarded as a battle between conservatives and progressives. But the truth is that this was vitally important information for the South Korean government which had nothing to do with the ideological leanings of conservatives or progressives.


Sometimes truth is not accepted as such, and this is certainly the case when the subject is North Korea. When we talk "facts" about North Korean issues, people hearing them immediately make then into a conservative or progressive issue. There are North Korea experts who like to call Hwang Jang-yop an extreme conservative. But such people are judging him blindly, often without having any conception of what being extreme right or extreme left means.


It is very important for people to be informed of the "whole truth" about problems in North Korea, and then from that point, to look for solutions. It takes time, but there is no other way. Then if we look at Hwang's testimony, what are the key points? There are two.


First, in the late summer of 1996, when North Korea Party Munitions Industry Secretary Jeon Byung-ho appeared at a meeting of the Party Central Committee for the first time in ages, Hwang, who was then International Secretary, asked him "Where have you been?" Jeon replied, "Now you don't need to go to the trouble of buying plutonium when you go abroad. I traveled to Pakistan and signed an agreement under which we give them missile technology in exchange for uranium centrifuges."


Second, Jeon also said, "The ICBM we are working on can reach the west coast of the United States. But we still cannot be sure where it will land. Even if we aim for Los Angeles, it may fall elsewhere. But in any case, we can hit the U.S. west coast."


So Jeon's words tell us the following: 1) North Korea began developing a uranium enrichment program in 1996, although they didn't admit it until 2002, when U.S. Envoy James Kelly was informed; and 2) the ICBM technology tested on Wednesday in the form of Unha-3 rocket was already quite advanced back in 1996.


Even if the entire issue began in 1996, that was still 16 years ago. Sixteen years ago, North Korea had already made progress on an ICBM that could reach the western United States. So we shouldn't be so surprised by the Unha-3 that has suddenly appeared on the front pages of major newspapers.


What we should be surprised about the ignorance of some so-called North Korea experts and politicians who still don't believe the truth. The success of Unha-3 should surprise no one, but the ignorance within us all certainly should.


Hwang passed away in October 2010, after ten years during which all I ever heard him say was, "the South Korean government doesn't believe us!" or "these ignorant so-called experts give me a headache."


"When I was in Pyongyang, I was distressed by the "extraordinary genius" of Kim Jong-il," he said. "But today I have a headache because there are too many 'expert' geniuses."


Young know-it-all experts who behaved as if they knew that policy toward North Korea during the Kim-Roh era was under control. And even today within Lee Administration continue to think so.


When Hwang defected in 1997, he stated clearly, "North Korea already possesses plutonium-based nuclear weapons, and it plans to make more." He also mentioned ICBMs. But the "experts" didn't want to believe him. They said North Koreans weren't capable of such things. Even though they were forever being made fools of by North Korean strategy, they still managed to take Pyongyang lightly.


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The Telegraph, U.K.: Japan Poised to Down North Korea Missile
The Hankyoreh, South Korea: Nuclear Summit Must Resist ‘Nuclear Power Mafia’
Yonhap, South Korea: Obama Warns North Launch will Bring Greater Isolation
News, Switzerland: Obama's Best Option for Koreas: Send Envoy to Pyongyang
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Opera Mundi, Brazil: Can America Secure a North Korean Nuclear 'Reversal'?
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Moskovskiye Novosti, Russia: 'Russia's Place in a Changing World,' By Vladimir Putin

Rodong Sinmun, North Korea: 'U.S. Warmongers' Foolish to Hope to Change North

Jong-A Ilbo, S. Korea: Why the Kim Jong-un Regime is 'Doomed'

Jong-A Ilbo, S. Korea: U.S.,China Must Resist Urge to Meddle after Kim's Death

Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Germany: Secret of America's Counterfeit 'Supernotes'

Korean Central, North Korea: The U.S. 'Should Be Cursed' By All Koreans

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Hwang said, "When I point at the moon, such 'experts' tend to focus on the stars. Some don't even look in the direction I'm pointing, preferring to criticize the dirt under my nails. They don't get the gist of what is being said. People stand around and chat about how right they are. They only believe what they want to believe, and only view the information they want to see. People stuck in their own beliefs do no favors for this country. How can the Republic of Korea move forward in this kind of atmosphere?"


If you want to know exactly what North Korea is and what it's doing, read Hwang's books. The way to resolve the North Korea issue can be found there.


The problem isn't that there isn't enough information available about North Korea's nuclear strategy, but that the people implementing our strategy haven't read exposed themselves to the right information. People prefer to blame their ignorance on a lack of data, whereas the source of the problem is within us.


Although the experimental Unha-3 missile was finally launched in the Kim Jong-un era, it is an extension of Kim Jong-il's final instructions, and was launched according to Kim Jong-il's nuclear strategy. In November of 2010, North Korea invited U.S. nuclear scientist Siegfried Hecker to review their enriched uranium facilities, and the success of Unha-3 shows that they have completed another step of that strategy.


The last two steps are re-entry and miniaturization. A third nuclear test, which would use highly-enriched uranium, may soon reveal that North Korea knows the basics of how to miniaturize nuclear warheads. We don't know whether they have re-entry technology as they just haven't attempted it. But there is some evidence.


I heard from Hwang that Professor Seo Sang-kuk of Kim Il-sung University, where Hwang once taught Kim Jong-il, developed the mathematical theory for North Korea's weapons program. He graduated from a university in Moscow and is known to be a mathematical genius. Apparently in 1980, Seo participated in a communist bloc defense technology competition in Hungary, and while other participants proved their points with tests, Seo proved his by writing a board full of mathematical formulae that the audience was amazed by.

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We should expect North Korea, which has used every resource at its disposal to develop nuclear weapons and missiles, to be ahead of South Korea. In any case, the key to security is preparing for the worst.


What is the purpose of Kim Jong-il's nuclear strategy? It is very clear. After reaching agreement on a peace treaty with Washington, it is to break the military alliance between South Korea and the United States, maintain military superiority on the Korean Peninsula, and to receive a reliable flow of economic support from South Korea. South Korea would become a nuclear hostage state, and pro-North factions in South Korea would move toward unification under the North Korean regime. Whether or not this is possible, that is their goal. This is the purpose behind the existence of the North Korean regime.


So then, what should we do?


North Korea's nuclear strategy is not an overnight occurrence, and there is no silver bullet for addressing it. If Pyongyang behaves, then it must be given bread. If not, it must be punished in cooperation with the international community. Certainly, it is fair to punish North Korea when they launch missiles.


The government and private sector must clearly understand Kim Jong-il's nuclear strategy. We must no longer say that North Korea's nuclear weapons are a tool for negotiations or a triviality.


Most importantly, in seeking to resolve the North Korean nuclear problem, the people and government should share a similar goal. For as long as totalitarian dictatorship exists in North Korea, the problem will continue to worsen.


But we don't have much time. The North Korea problem must be resolved within the next five years. Only then will we be able to offer hope to the young. This is the only way to assure the future for the 80 million people living on this peninsula.


*Sohn Gwang-joo is director of the Daily North Korea Unification Strategy Research Institute



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[Posted by Worldmeets.US Dec. 14, 5:49pm]